Coles vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COV
4 - 1
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COL
0 - 3
ARR
19%
20%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COL
3 - 5
CAL
35%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIB
4 - 1
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 4
PON
27%
21%
52%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
RIB
30%
21%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 6
UDO
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMO
3 - 3
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
5 - 0
VEL
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |