Coles vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOÑ
1 - 1
COL
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COL
4 - 2
PON
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
COL
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 4
ARR
39%
23%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 2
COL
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 1
MOR
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAS
2 - 1
LEI
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LEI
2 - 4
CAL
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMO
3 - 3
LEI
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LEI
0 - 2
CRE
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |