Coleraine vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
7º
6º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
COL
35%
24%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
20%
21%
60%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
LIN
17%
19%
64%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
1 - 5
LIN
7%
14%
79%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |