Asunción A vs Unión Astur CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ABO
2 - 4
CAS
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIL
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 4
CAS
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
5 - 0
VSQ
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Astur CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
UAS
2 - 4
ABO
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PIL
1 - 0
UAS
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UAS
6 - 1
CDM
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VSQ
0 - 6
UAS
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UAS
2 - 1
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |