Cognac vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COG
0 - 0
CHA
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
COG
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COG
0 - 0
TRE
22%
25%
53%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOU
5 - 5
COG
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COG
2 - 3
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 0
VER
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
THO
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
STP
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 2
LEP
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
CHO
47%
23%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |