Cogenhoe United vs Bugbrooke St Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cogenhoe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DES
0 - 0
COG
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
COG
2 - 2
WES
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WES
2 - 2
COG
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
LUT
1 - 2
COG
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COG
3 - 0
COV
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bugbrooke St Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BUG
2 - 5
AYL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BUG
2 - 3
LER
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 2
RCW
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STN
3 - 0
BUG
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BUG
0 - 1
EAS
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |