Cobresal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2004 |
SWA
2 - 0
CSL
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CSL
0 - 3
DEP
59%
21%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
CSL
2 - 3
COB
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ACS
4 - 0
CSL
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
DLS
1 - 4
UCO
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
4 - 0
USF
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |