Cobreloa vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 1
COB
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IQU
2 - 4
COB
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COB
0 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
COB
0 - 2
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
MEJ
1 - 1
COB
26%
23%
52%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
COL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DLS
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 2
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
QUK
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |