Cobreloa vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
PUE
4 - 1
COB
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
COB
1 - 1
HUA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
HUA
4 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
COB
3 - 1
HUA
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
EVE
0 - 2
COB
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 4
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |