Apertura B Phase 1 Jor. 3

Cobreloa vs Concepción analysis

Cobreloa Concepción
74 ELO 54
3.2% Tilt -4.1%
1407º General ELO ranking 3730º
16º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
77.1%
Cobreloa
15.9%
Draw
7%
Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
Cobreloa
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7%
Win probability
Concepción
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cobreloa
-15%
+10%
Concepción

ELO progression

Cobreloa
Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cobreloa
Cobreloa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2015
DCO
Deportes Copiapó
1 - 2
Cobreloa
COB
21%
26%
53%
74 56 18 0
02 Aug. 2015
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 0
Antofagasta
ANT
43%
24%
34%
73 74 1 +1
30 Jul. 2015
IQU
Deportes Iquique
2 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
53%
24%
24%
74 75 1 -1
26 Jul. 2015
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 1
Curicó Unido
CUR
80%
14%
5%
74 49 25 0
19 Jul. 2015
SAN
San Marcos Arica
0 - 3
Cobreloa
COB
42%
26%
32%
72 70 2 +2

Matches

Concepción
Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2015
CON
Concepción
2 - 1
Santiago Morning
SAN
39%
28%
34%
54 56 2 0
02 Aug. 2015
HUA
Huachipato
3 - 2
Concepción
CON
79%
14%
7%
54 75 21 0
29 Jul. 2015
CON
Concepción
1 - 0
Ñublense
NUB
14%
20%
66%
53 70 17 +1
26 Jul. 2015
BAR
Barnechea
2 - 1
Concepción
CON
58%
23%
19%
53 60 7 0
19 Jul. 2015
CON
Concepción
1 - 3
Colo-Colo
COL
13%
20%
67%
53 75 22 0
X