Copa Chile Last 16

Global 3-0

Cobreloa vs La Serena analysis

Cobreloa La Serena
58 ELO 51
4.1% Tilt -6.8%
1633º General ELO ranking 1123º
20º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Cobreloa
22.3%
Draw
20.8%
La Serena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Cobreloa
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
La Serena
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cobreloa
-14%
-2%
La Serena

ELO progression

Cobreloa
La Serena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cobreloa
Cobreloa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2016
NUB
Ñublense
2 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
45%
26%
30%
58 55 3 0
28 Aug. 2016
COB
Cobreloa
0 - 0
San Marcos Arica
SAN
39%
27%
33%
59 65 6 -1
21 Aug. 2016
USF
Unión San Felipe
3 - 2
Cobreloa
COB
31%
29%
40%
61 54 7 -2
07 Aug. 2016
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 2
CDSC Iberia
IBE
61%
22%
17%
63 57 6 -2
30 Jul. 2016
COQ
Coquimbo Unido
1 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
32%
27%
40%
65 54 11 -2

Matches

La Serena
La Serena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2016
PUE
Puerto Montt
1 - 1
La Serena
DLS
48%
25%
27%
51 54 3 0
20 Aug. 2016
DLS
La Serena
0 - 0
Magallanes
MAG
56%
23%
20%
53 50 3 -2
14 Aug. 2016
IBE
CDSC Iberia
3 - 2
La Serena
DLS
54%
23%
23%
54 56 2 -1
07 Aug. 2016
DLS
La Serena
1 - 1
Coquimbo Unido
COQ
50%
24%
26%
55 54 1 -1
31 Jul. 2016
SAN
Santiago Morning
3 - 0
La Serena
DLS
43%
25%
32%
57 54 3 -2