New Zealand National League Sur. Jor. 7

Coastal Spirit vs Nomads Utd analysis

Coastal Spirit Nomads Utd
20 ELO 15
-4.1% Tilt 6%
10917º General ELO ranking 11369º
33º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
67.5%
Coastal Spirit
17.1%
Draw
15.5%
Nomads Utd

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.5%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coastal Spirit
+13%
+81%
Nomads Utd

Points and table prediction

Coastal Spirit
Their league position
Nomads Utd
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
20
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Coastal Spirit
Nomads Utd
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Coastal Spirit
Nomads Utd
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2023
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
5 - 0
Coastal Spirit
COA
56%
20%
25%
20 22 2 0
22 Apr. 2023
FCT
Twenty 11
1 - 4
Coastal Spirit
COA
7%
12%
81%
20 9 11 0
16 Apr. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 1
Cashmere Technical
CAS
5%
9%
86%
19 43 24 +1
07 Apr. 2023
GIA
Green Island
0 - 1
Coastal Spirit
COA
55%
19%
26%
19 19 0 0
02 Apr. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
0 - 4
Christchurch United
CHR
11%
15%
74%
20 37 17 -1

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2023
NOM
Nomads Utd
6 - 2
Green Island
GIA
29%
20%
52%
14 17 3 0
21 Apr. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
91%
6%
3%
14 38 24 0
15 Apr. 2023
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 2
Twenty 11
FCT
92%
6%
2%
16 7 9 -2
07 Apr. 2023
CAS
Cashmere Technical
7 - 3
Nomads Utd
NOM
95%
4%
1%
16 43 27 0
01 Apr. 2023
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 2
Ferrymead Bays
FER
34%
21%
45%
17 21 4 -1
X