Coastal Spirit vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COA
2 - 4
CAS
8%
11%
81%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
DUN
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
COA
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
COA
5 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COA
2 - 1
NOM
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FCT
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
FER
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 6
CAS
4%
9%
87%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | -2 |