NI Third Division Round 13

Coagh United vs Lisburn Distillery analysis

Coagh United Lisburn Distillery
36 ELO 42
10% Tilt 14.9%
7124º General ELO ranking 6474º
37º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Coagh United
21.6%
Draw
42%
Lisburn Distillery

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
Coagh United
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
42%
Win probability
Lisburn Distillery
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coagh United
-31%
-13%
Lisburn Distillery

ELO progression

Coagh United
Lisburn Distillery
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coagh United
Coagh United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
1 - 1
Coagh United
COA
58%
20%
23%
36 42 6 0
03 Feb. 2024
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
1 - 1
Coagh United
COA
85%
10%
5%
36 56 20 0
27 Jan. 2024
COA
Coagh United
3 - 2
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
23%
23%
54%
35 53 18 +1
20 Jan. 2024
COA
Coagh United
4 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
9%
17%
74%
32 57 25 +3
13 Jan. 2024
COA
Coagh United
3 - 0
Portstewart
POR
36%
22%
41%
29 36 7 +3

Matches

Lisburn Distillery
Lisburn Distillery
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2024
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
1 - 1
Coagh United
COA
58%
20%
23%
42 36 6 0
03 Feb. 2024
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 2
Rathfriland Rangers
RRF
71%
16%
14%
43 33 10 -1
27 Jan. 2024
QUB
Queens University Belfast
1 - 1
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
74%
15%
11%
43 53 10 0
13 Jan. 2024
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
3 - 2
Banbridge Town
BAN
54%
22%
24%
42 38 4 +1
06 Jan. 2024
LIM
Limavady
3 - 2
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
73%
16%
11%
42 53 11 0