CNI vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
CNI
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CNI
1 - 1
UNI
37%
31%
33%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
CNI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
CNI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CNI
3 - 0
AYA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 2
COM
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |