CNI vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
CNI
1 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
CNI
2 - 2
COB
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 1
CNI
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 0
SBO
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |