12 de Octubre vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
12O
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
12O
1 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SDP
3 - 1
12O
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
12O
1 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TAC
2 - 3
12O
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
RPA
1 - 3
FER
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
FER
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
SDP
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |