Monarcas Morelia Premier vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monarcas Morelia Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TEP
0 - 3
MON
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
TIJ
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GAV
3 - 2
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
DUR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DUR
0 - 1
TIJ
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
DUR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DUR
0 - 1
CHI
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PAC
3 - 0
DUR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |