Cienciano vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SBO
2 - 0
CIE
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 3
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
CIE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LEO
4 - 0
CIE
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CIE
3 - 2
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALI
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 5
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |