Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 1
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
4 - 0
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
STR
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
STR
3 - 3
RPO
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
STR
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LAP
1 - 3
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |