Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BLO
3 - 2
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOL
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STR
6 - 0
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RPO
2 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
STR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OPE
2 - 1
STR
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |