Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 2
RPO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
JWI
3 - 0
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
OPE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 0
ROY
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
OPE
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 3
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 0
DES
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |