Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
AUR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
AUR
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
STR
3 - 1
AUR
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
RPO
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 0
RPO
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
REA
1 - 0
JWI
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
JWI
3 - 3
LAP
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
JWI
0 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
JWI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |