Aurora vs Arauco Prado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 3
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
LQE
5 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
LQE
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
HAP
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UMA
1 - 0
AUR
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arauco Prado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 0
UMA
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |