Libertad FC vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
EME
1 - 1
CAL
45%
29%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 3
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAL
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 1
ORE
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CUE
0 - 1
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 0
LDU
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
CRZ
1 - 2
MUS
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 1
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
MUS
3 - 2
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MUS
1 - 1
EME
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |