Bartolomé Mitre vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
6º
5º
26
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bartolomé Mitre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 0
ABM
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ABM
1 - 1
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
1 - 0
ABM
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ABM
1 - 0
SAR
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDN
1 - 3
ABM
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
BUC
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SMA
1 - 1
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 1
SAR
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CDN
3 - 2
RAF
11%
25%
64%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
JAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |