Alumni Azuleño vs Independiente San Cayetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Azuleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FER
3 - 2
AAZ
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
AAZ
1 - 1
HSA
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente San Cayetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ISC
2 - 0
HSA
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RAO
1 - 1
ISC
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
ISC
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ISC
0 - 2
FER
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ARG
0 - 1
ISC
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |