2 de Mayo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
10º
8º
25
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 42 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 39 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 38 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 34 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 32 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 29 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 29 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 27 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 24 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 24 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 21 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
2DE
3 - 2
OLI
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
CDR
2 - 0
2DE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2025 |
ENC
1 - 2
2DE
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
2DE
1 - 1
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
TEM
1 - 1
2DE
49%
26%
24%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
LQE
2 - 3
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 0
JLM
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 3
GUA
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
LIB
0 - 4
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 4
CCP
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |