CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CPK
2 - 0
BEN
57%
18%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
MCA
56%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 3
BEN
14%
16%
71%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
7 - 0
BMA
80%
11%
8%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CHF
1 - 3
BEN
33%
21%
46%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
3 - 2
TCK
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
MCA
56%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
MCA
9 - 0
BMA
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TCK
0 - 9
MCA
24%
19%
57%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MCA
0 - 3
CPK
43%
20%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |