CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
WAK
0 - 0
BEN
11%
15%
75%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
SMA
60%
19%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +23 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
4 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CHF
0 - 3
MCA
31%
20%
50%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
PSP
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +10 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |