CSL Benfica vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAK
0 - 0
BEN
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 12
BEN
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
CPK
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
BEN
8 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
GLP
1 - 2
MCA
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
WAK
1 - 1
MCA
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 2
MCA
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |