Cliftonville vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
CLI
10%
18%
72%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
CLI
4 - 1
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 1
CLI
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |