National 3 Group K Round 15

Clermont II vs Ain Sud analysis

Clermont II Ain Sud
34 ELO 29
0.5% Tilt -5.3%
7847º General ELO ranking 26443º
242º Country ELO ranking 562º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Clermont II
19.8%
Draw
19%
Ain Sud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
Clermont II
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19%
Win probability
Ain Sud
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clermont II
+7%
+6%
Ain Sud

Points and table prediction

Clermont II
Their league position
Ain Sud
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
11º
23
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Saint-Priest
55
55
100%
Lyon-Duchère
47
50
85.5%
Chambéry
47
47
85.5%
Saint-Étienne II
41
41
100%
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
38
38
0%
Olympique Lyonnais II
38
38
0%
Feurs
37
37
0%
Limonest
37
37
0%
Clermont II
33
33
100%
Hauts Lyonnais
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Chassieu Decines
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Olympique de Valence
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Ain Sud
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Vaulx
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clermont II
Ain Sud
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Clermont II
Ain Sud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clermont II
Clermont II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
CLE
Clermont II
1 - 4
Feurs
FEU
65%
19%
16%
35 29 6 0
20 Jan. 2024
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
2 - 4
Clermont II
CLE
79%
15%
6%
33 53 20 +2
16 Dec. 2023
ESM
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1 - 0
Clermont II
CLE
16%
19%
66%
34 17 17 -1
02 Dec. 2023
CDE
Chassieu Decines
1 - 0
Clermont II
CLE
13%
17%
70%
35 16 19 -1
26 Nov. 2023
CLE
Clermont II
3 - 0
Saint-Étienne II
SAE
44%
23%
33%
33 36 3 +2

Matches

Ain Sud
Ain Sud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
AIN
Ain Sud
1 - 1
Chambéry
CHA
25%
25%
50%
28 38 10 0
13 Jan. 2024
AIN
Ain Sud
1 - 1
Lyon-Duchère
LYO
6%
16%
78%
27 53 26 +1
06 Jan. 2024
ESM
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
5 - 0
Ain Sud
AIN
22%
21%
57%
30 20 10 -3
16 Dec. 2023
OLY
Olympique Lyonnais II
2 - 2
Ain Sud
AIN
70%
17%
13%
29 37 8 +1
09 Dec. 2023
AIN
Ain Sud
3 - 0
Limonest
LIM
25%
24%
51%
26 36 10 +3