Clermont vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
18º
18º
40
4º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
69% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
85.5% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
89.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
CLE
82%
12%
5%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 3
TFC
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 1
LHA
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
CLE
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 5
MAR
21%
26%
54%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 0
LOR
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 2
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 6
PSG
15%
18%
67%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 2
MPL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 2
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |