Ligue 1 Round 29

Clermont vs Montpellier analysis

Clermont Montpellier
79 ELO 84
-7.8% Tilt -9.4%
513º General ELO ranking 253º
24º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
29.8%
Clermont
26.1%
Draw
44.1%
Montpellier

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
Clermont
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.1%
Win probability
Montpellier
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clermont
-9%
-15%
Montpellier

Points and table prediction

Clermont
Their league position
Montpellier
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
18º
18º
41
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
76
76
100%
Monaco
67
67
100%
Stade Brestois
61
61
100%
Lille
59
59
100%
Nice
55
55
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
53
53
100%
Lens
51
51
100%
Olympique Marseille
50
50
100%
Stade de Reims
47
47
100%
Stade Rennais
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Toulouse
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
41
42
12º
100%
Strasbourg
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Nantes
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Le Havre
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Lorient
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Metz
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Clermont
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clermont
Montpellier
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Clermont
Montpellier
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clermont
Clermont
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
PSG
PSG
1 - 1
Clermont
CLE
87%
10%
3%
79 96 17 0
31 Mar. 2024
CLE
Clermont
0 - 3
Toulouse
TFC
29%
25%
46%
79 85 6 0
17 Mar. 2024
CLE
Clermont
2 - 1
Le Havre
LHA
41%
27%
32%
78 80 2 +1
10 Mar. 2024
MET
Metz
1 - 0
Clermont
CLE
43%
27%
30%
79 79 0 -1
02 Mar. 2024
CLE
Clermont
1 - 5
Olympique Marseille
MAR
22%
26%
53%
79 89 10 0

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2024
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 0
Lorient
LOR
53%
23%
25%
83 80 3 0
31 Mar. 2024
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
29%
27%
44%
83 79 4 0
17 Mar. 2024
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 6
PSG
PSG
10%
16%
74%
83 95 12 0
08 Mar. 2024
NIC
Nice
1 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
50%
26%
25%
82 87 5 +1
03 Mar. 2024
MPL
Montpellier
2 - 2
Strasbourg
STR
45%
25%
31%
82 83 1 0