Clarence United vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
85.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Clarence United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 1
CLA
67%
16%
17%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
5 - 3
CLA
68%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 5
HOB
5%
11%
83%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
4 - 1
CLA
95%
4%
1%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
CLA
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 6
SOU
17%
18%
64%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
DEV
4 - 0
NOR
87%
9%
3%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 2
OLY
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOB
3 - 2
DEV
44%
21%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 0
DEV
5%
12%
84%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | -1 |