Highland Football League Scotland Round 19

Clachnacuddin vs Keith analysis

Clachnacuddin Keith
27 ELO 22
8.2% Tilt 5.7%
6309º General ELO ranking 9256º
67º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Clachnacuddin
19%
Draw
19.5%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
Clachnacuddin
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.5%
Win probability
Keith
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clachnacuddin
+13%
-15%
Keith

Points and table prediction

Clachnacuddin
Their league position
Keith
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
11º
17º
12º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clachnacuddin
Keith
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Clachnacuddin
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clachnacuddin
Clachnacuddin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
BUC
Buckie Thistle
5 - 0
Clachnacuddin
CLA
90%
8%
2%
26 54 28 0
22 Feb. 2023
FOR
Forres Mechanics
0 - 0
Clachnacuddin
CLA
54%
21%
25%
26 28 2 0
18 Feb. 2023
CLA
Clachnacuddin
3 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
67%
17%
16%
26 21 5 0
11 Feb. 2023
FOR
Formartine United
4 - 0
Clachnacuddin
CLA
86%
9%
5%
26 46 20 0
04 Feb. 2023
CLA
Clachnacuddin
2 - 0
Forres Mechanics
FOR
30%
22%
48%
24 31 7 +2

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
KEI
Keith
0 - 2
Lossiemouth
LOS
55%
20%
25%
23 22 1 0
22 Feb. 2023
HUN
Huntly
1 - 0
Keith
KEI
57%
20%
22%
24 27 3 -1
18 Feb. 2023
FRA
Fraserburgh
4 - 0
Keith
KEI
92%
6%
2%
24 54 30 0
11 Feb. 2023
BUC
Buckie Thistle
3 - 0
Keith
KEI
91%
7%
2%
24 54 30 0
04 Feb. 2023
KEI
Keith
1 - 1
Deveronvale
DEV
71%
16%
14%
24 19 5 0