Highland Football League Scotland Round 12

Clachnacuddin vs Buckie Thistle analysis

Clachnacuddin Buckie Thistle
26 ELO 54
13.9% Tilt 1.6%
6428º General ELO ranking 3191º
69º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
4.9%
Clachnacuddin
11.4%
Draw
83.7%
Buckie Thistle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
Clachnacuddin
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
83.7%
Win probability
Buckie Thistle
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Clachnacuddin
+15%
-3%
Buckie Thistle

Points and table prediction

Clachnacuddin
Their league position
Buckie Thistle
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
11º
17º
12º
87
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Clachnacuddin
Buckie Thistle
Play-offs for the title
0% 78.5%
Mid-table
100% 21.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Clachnacuddin
Buckie Thistle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Clachnacuddin
Clachnacuddin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
1 - 3
Formartine United
FOR
13%
19%
68%
27 47 20 0
17 Sep. 2022
DUN
Dunbar United
3 - 2
Clachnacuddin
CLA
43%
22%
35%
28 30 2 -1
03 Sep. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
4 - 1
Rothes
ROT
9%
15%
76%
21 46 25 +7
27 Aug. 2022
BAN
Banks O' Dee
2 - 1
Clachnacuddin
CLA
90%
7%
3%
21 44 23 0
24 Aug. 2022
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 0
Clachnacuddin
CLA
70%
17%
13%
21 29 8 0

Matches

Buckie Thistle
Buckie Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
7 - 1
Turriff United
TUR
89%
8%
3%
54 26 28 0
24 Sep. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
1 - 2
Linfield
LIN
17%
19%
64%
55 71 16 -1
17 Sep. 2022
LOS
Lossiemouth
1 - 2
Buckie Thistle
BUC
6%
12%
82%
55 25 30 0
03 Sep. 2022
BUC
Buckie Thistle
2 - 0
Huntly
HUN
90%
8%
2%
55 27 28 0
27 Aug. 2022
INV
Inverurie Loco Works
0 - 4
Buckie Thistle
BUC
20%
20%
60%
54 46 8 +1