Civitanovese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
REC
1 - 4
CIV
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
CIT
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FID
1 - 1
CIV
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
0 - 4
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TER
2 - 1
CIV
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SSS
1 - 1
TER
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 1
SSS
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SSS
3 - 0
FCC
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JES
1 - 2
SSS
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SSS
2 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |