Civitanovese vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIS
2 - 1
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 1
TER
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
ANC
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
CIV
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FID
3 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANC
5 - 0
FID
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FID
2 - 4
OLY
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JES
1 - 0
FID
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FID
2 - 2
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |