Civil Service Strollers vs Selkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
AFC
2 - 1
CIV
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CIV
0 - 5
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CIV
3 - 5
LOT
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CIV
0 - 5
PRE
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CIV
1 - 5
BLA
13%
19%
69%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Selkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SEL
5 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
EDI
1 - 0
SEL
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CRA
4 - 3
SEL
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
PRE
0 - 0
SEL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SEL
1 - 1
EDI
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |