Civil Service Strollers vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 2
WHI
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 0
CIV
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 1
CUM
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
STI
3 - 1
CIV
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 3
THE
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
4 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
EDA
58%
20%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
DAL
1 - 1
GRE
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 4
THE
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 3
SEL
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |