City of Lusaka vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
City of Lusaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 1
COL
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COL
3 - 3
FOR
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
KON
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 1
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RED
1 - 2
ZES
52%
27%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
RED
49%
28%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RED
6 - 1
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ZAN
0 - 0
RED
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ZFC
0 - 1
RED
49%
28%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |