FC Messina vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
7 - 1
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
GEL
51%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
CIT
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ACI
3 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 0
ACI
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
DAT
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
ACI
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
ACI
13%
20%
67%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |