Citizens vs Eleven Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CIT
2 - 3
MIG
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUL
0 - 0
CIT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 3
CIT
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CIT
1 - 1
ORL
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CIT
0 - 1
CIV
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Eleven Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 0
BLU
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 0
YCH
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 1
RUN
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 1
ELE
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNA
0 - 1
ELE
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |