Citizen AA vs HK Sapling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HON
4 - 3
CAA
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 2
HVA
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CWD
3 - 3
CAA
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 4
HON
15%
19%
67%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DOU
3 - 4
CAA
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
HON
1 - 5
EAD
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
WTP
3 - 1
HON
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HON
1 - 2
KFC
12%
14%
74%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HON
6 - 0
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
HON
2 - 2
EAS
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |