Citizen AA vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
KWA
1 - 1
CAA
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAA
1 - 2
YTS
56%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KWU
0 - 0
CAA
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAA
4 - 0
LUC
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAA
7 - 1
MGS
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
WTP
1 - 5
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
LUC
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
KWA
0 - 6
HON
15%
19%
67%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
HON
7 - 0
TCS
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HON
6 - 0
KWU
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |