Ciserano vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 2
CIS
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 3
INV
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 3
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
VBE
66%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIS
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
FOL
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
GRU
34%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 4
GRU
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 4
SON
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |