Cipolletti vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
3º
34
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
CIP
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIP
0 - 0
VIL
21%
30%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
CIP
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
SAN
45%
28%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
CIP
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 1
RSA
23%
28%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
GER
77%
17%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
LIN
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GER
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GER
2 - 0
CDC
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |