Ciney vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MEU
4 - 4
CIN
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
4 - 4
WAL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FAY
4 - 3
CIN
30%
23%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ELS
1 - 2
CIN
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
CIN
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
GEE
33%
24%
42%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOC
3 - 0
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRI
66%
19%
14%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OLY
0 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 4
TUR
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |