Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
CIM
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CIM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAT
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UAP
2 - 1
ZAC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
LOB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
13%
22%
66%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 1
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |